Listen up Pac: Here's How

by lcollins1 on Nov 15, 2008 12:35 AM EST

First of all, have you seen the press? Did you see what Thomas Hauser said about this fight? Who's he? He wrote Ali's biography, old white guy, been around for a while. He says you don't have a chance and that this whole production is a bunch of media junk. Several welterweights have weighed in with comments in the same vein. Minus a scientific stat, the media and the boxing community say you're too small and too weak. Many notable boxing people don't think you have a chance, and more, that this thing is a joke.

I think you've got more than a chance, I think you're going to win. But, if you're extra stupid, extra emotional, or just extra ignorant, you'll get knocked out early. So here's my recipe for you busting up DLH:

1) Bottom line, your a shark, the deeper this fight goes, the better the odds you drowned him with punches. Drag DLH into the late or even mid-rounds and he becomes your punching bag.

2) Do anything not to get hit with a clean left hook in the first five rounds. Getting hit early with a left hook is the way you lose this fight and the world chuckles to a SportsCenter teaser.

3) On that 'first five rounds' thing, you cannot afford to fight him early. This is the only area where I question whether you're going to win this fight. I have never seen you willing to fight in a counter-first game plan. Can you do it? For less than half a fight?

4) Fight him after the 5th round. DLH has never seen an explosive, high output fighter like you. Put him in the hornets' hive and I think the fight will be stopped in the 11th round.

Prove 'em all wrong Pac. This is your chance to secure boxing's version of 'transcendental figure' status. Mop up DLH and secure your legacy.

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Volume punching and workrate are how Pac beats Oscar. I’ll tell you, I was “against” the fight to start, but the closer it’s gotten, the more intrigued I am. Fun matchup. Real intrigue.

"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum

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by Scott Christ on Nov 15, 2008 2:13 AM EST reply actions

I think volume punching is a losing strategy here

He needs to weave effectively. If he volume punches, it means he’’ll be standing there for Oscar to hit, and we know who has the major reach advantage. It also means his ribs will be open, and Oscar would pound the body until Pac slows down eventually. If he’s able to potshot and suck in and out without getting countered, he can win. Unfortunately, that’s not always his best fighting strategy, but he’s done it effectively before (parts of Barrera II, Solis, etc.)

Vogt early, Vogt often.

by Brickhaus on Nov 16, 2008 2:02 AM EST reply actions

I think volume punching helps him, but I can certainly see your point. See, I do think Roach is pretty much right that Oscar is gun-shy anymore. I’m not sure Oscar has the speed or maybe even the mind to really drill away on Manny anymore.

I do think Manny is going to go for the KO, too. Which might well be stupid, but hey, probably makes for the most exciting fight, so it ain’t my problem if Oscar does catch Manny getting too aggressive.

I think Manny can go hard and fast enough to almost confuse Oscar at this stage of Oscar’s career. That’s why I favor volume and workrate.

"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum

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by Scott Christ on Nov 16, 2008 12:46 PM EST up reply actions