Does Sugar Shane have a shot against Margo?  As long as he didn't get old in the Mayorga fight, Shane wins on Saturday.  And, if he is to win, Shane cements an already stellar legacy in boxing folklore.  Shane's also got some major problems with this fight, problems he's going to overcome. 

Right now I've got Shane up 40-36 after 4.  He could win the first 6.  The drama likely comes later, but could come earlier depending on Shane's recklessness factor, which is never low.  I'm trying not to think of the Shane I saw against Mayorga, that was a Shane who I perceive as being not all that motivated to fight a paper tiger. 

This isn't Mayorga he's dealing with obviously.  It's not a quality Vargas either, who Shane dismissed twice relatively handily.  Margo is no paper tiger and Shane's not scared to get hit.  What happens when Margo hits Shane with consecutive punches after round 7?  Those bludgeoning, messy, half overhand, half straight right hands that displace the other fighter's head about 5 inches.  What happens when two of those monsters land?

Cotto did it.  He won a close and controversial(in my mind) decision but never dropped Shane.  Never had Shane in imminent danger of the KO.  Cotto Konged Shane a few times, but when he had to, Shane was able to move.  I know, Margo hits with substantially more 'sick' than Cotto.  But Shane's never been KO'd, has he ever been down?

On Saturday, Shane has to be willing to play some defense, and I think he will.  Shane will jump out to a big early lead, have more respect for the power than we've seen from him in the past, and hold on to a close decision.  With the win he joins B-Hop as the two most celebrated American boxers in recent history.