Fight Previews: Lopez, Gamboa should cruise on Saturday
Top Rank presents a four-fight pay-per-view card on Saturday night from Madison Square Garden, headlined by two exciting, young stars that fight for knockouts and have natural talent in spades. I personally feel that one of them (Juan Manuel Lopez) is already a legit pound-for-pound contender, a 122-pound titlist who has mowed down his opposition so far, but many are even higher on Yuriorkis Gamboa, a featherweight titleholder whose speed can be astounding to watch, and with that speed comes some shocking power.
The show is priced at $39.99, which most are going to feel is pretty expensive for fights that, frankly, don't look competitive on paper. But the fact is this: Top Rank wanted to get these guys on TV, and this was really the only outlet. It's no test of whether or not you're a "big enough boxing fan" when it comes to ordering this. It depends on whether or not you have the disposable cash, or if you don't and you're just a nut, like me. I shouldn't spend $40 on this card, but I will.
Let's take a look at the card.
Main Event: Juan Manuel Lopez v. Rogers Mtagwa
Lopez (26-0, 24 KO) dumped on this fight himself when it was first announced. The 122-pound titlist wanted something bigger, yet at the same time he wasn't showing a lot of interest in unifying with Celestino Caballero at the time, and Caballero didn't really turn up the heat on calling out Lopez until this fight was all but signed on the dotted line.
Mtagwa (26-12-2, 18 KO) is a rugged, good-punching veteran, but the level of talent that separates these two is enormous. Lopez is a fast, exceptionally strong young fighter. Mtagwa, 30, is probably best-known for his November 2008 war with Tomas Villa, which he dramatically won via final round knockout, storming back into a fight that was all but lost for him. He's really a tough guy, but if he makes it into the double digit rounds with Lopez, be surprised. Lopez is about ten times the fighter Villa is, which makes him about ten times the fighter Mtagwa is. He's just a lot better, period, and this is a mismatch. Everyone knows it. If Mtagwa wins, it's the Upset of the Year.
Co-Feature: Yuriorkis Gamboa v. Whyber Garcia
There's no delicate way to put this matchup either: It sucks. We've seen Gamboa dispose of guys on Garcia's level with relative ease plenty of times already. Gamboa (15-0, 13 KO) is far more advanced than the number of pro fights would lead you to believe, same with most of the top Cuban standouts that have defected and gone pro. Garcia (22-6, 15 KO) has been knocked out four times, and this should be the fifth.
List of Gamboa opponents on Garcia's level, and you've probably seen most of these fights, so expect the same: Al Seeger, Roger Gonzalez, Macos Ramirez, Johnnie Edwards, Jose Rojas, Walter Estrada. Garcia has won his last two since being destroyed by Jorge Linares in 2008, and he was also part of Edwin Valero's long first round knockout streak. Roinet Caballero stopped him in two in between the losses to Valero and Linares. Garcia has no chance on Saturday. If he wins, it's the Upset of the Year.
Heavyweights: Odlanier Solis v. Monte Barrett
This was once the most interesting fight on the show, when it was Solis against fellow undefeated prospect/contender Kevin Johnson, but then Johnson bailed, and they replaced him with boring old Fres Oquendo, but now Oquendo has some legal issues and can't leave Illinois, so shot trial horse Monte Barrett is in.
I've said this every time he's fought that we've talked about it since BLH started in '06, so I'll say it again: I really like Monte Barrett for no real reason, although his embarrassment of Tye Fields helped give me more solid reasons. Solis (14-0, 10 KO) won't blitz Monte the way David Haye did last year, but Barrett (34-7, 20 KO) just hasn't ever panned out as the top fighter a few people thought he was going to be in his earlier days. On pure skill, Solis should take this to the bank with little trouble, and given Monte's age (38) and wear and tear, he has a good chance at stopping him. I like this fight better than I liked Solis-Oquendo, but that's just because I'd rather watch Monte than I would Fast Fres. Oquendo was a better challenge than Barrett will be.
Junior Middleweights: Pawel Wolak v. Carlos Nascimento
The likely pay-per-view opener is probably the best fight on the card now. Wolak (24-1, 16 KO) and Nascimento (24-1, 20 KO) are both fringe contenders, and that's a nice way of putting it for Nascimento, who has an exceptionally light resume. His one step up in competition saw him get knocked out in 11 by Sergiy Dzinziruk. This might be a pick'em on paper, but really if Wolak doesn't win, you can probably forget about him maturing into a real contender.
Off-TV: John Duddy will battle Michi Munoz. It should be an easy win for Duddy, but Duddy's wins are rarely easy. Omar Chavez, Carlos Negron, and Jorge Diaz are also in action in showcase fights.
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8 comments
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Comments
I actually like Solis to stop Barrett within 3 rounds
He’s a much more accurate puncher than Haye, and as Cliff Couser proved, all you need to do to KO Barrett is nail one square on the temple.
Also, I’d say that Edwards, Gonzalez and Rojas are a couple steps up from Garcia even, and Darling Jimenez (not otherwise mentioned) is a step up from all of them (other than maybe Rojas, who really is a good fighter but is old at this point).
Bad Left Hook - The SB Nation boxing blog
"Baseball is played on the field, not on a calculator."
by Brickhaus on Oct 8, 2009 11:56 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Yeah I quite like Jimenez, actually, which is why I didn’t mention him.
Bad Left Hook
"Well Howie, I think I'm going to stay outside and outjab him." -- Tex Cobb telling Howard Cosell how he would approach Larry Holmes
by SC on Oct 8, 2009 11:58 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I wonder what happened to him
He hasn’t fought in over a year now…
BTW, if you want to see a crazy weight swing, check what Gamboa’s third opponent did in his next fight.
http://www.boxrec.com/list_bouts.php?human_id=43120&cat=boxer
Bad Left Hook - The SB Nation boxing blog
"Baseball is played on the field, not on a calculator."
by Brickhaus on Oct 8, 2009 12:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
wtf
He fought Rafal Jackiewicz at welter two months before dropping below lightweight to fight Gamboa, too. That’s crazy.
Bad Left Hook
"Well Howie, I think I'm going to stay outside and outjab him." -- Tex Cobb telling Howard Cosell how he would approach Larry Holmes
by SC on Oct 8, 2009 12:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
amazing
he really must have been dead at the weight, especially considering the average weight he fought at for the previous 4 years, hope he got good money to do that…he must have been so hungry after and decided that in the future he was going to be comfortable…
I hated every minute of training, but I said, ‘’Don’t quit. Suffer now and live the rest of your life as a champion.'’ (Bernard Hopkins)
by BrianBrock on Oct 8, 2009 12:23 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
It's like a microcosm of James Toney's career....
Boxing is the beginning of all sports. I'm willing to bet that the first sport was a man against another man in a fight. (Omar Epps)
by Chaos100 on Oct 8, 2009 2:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
More info on the boxing business
It would be nice to see more information on how the boxing business works. What are PPV numbers like, what do fighters get paid, how much is made at events?
MMA coverage does a good job of this, but boxing doesn’t seem so transparent. It would be nice to see more coverage on this aspect of the sport. Granted, information might be hard to come by, but it would be nice nonetheless.
by cyke on Oct 8, 2009 1:40 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Most PPV numbers eventually come out. Shows like this are rare to get numbers released, but they make their money back or they wouldn’t do them so consistently. The more control over a show the promoter has, the less information comes out.
Bad Left Hook
"Well Howie, I think I'm going to stay outside and outjab him." -- Tex Cobb telling Howard Cosell how he would approach Larry Holmes
by SC on Oct 8, 2009 1:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

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