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Fight Previews: Pavlik-Espino and the rest of Latin Fury

Tumblr_ktfduwndqz1qa3oe1o1_500_medium With my having a previous obligation (Christmas party) on Saturday, this is the first Saturday in a while where we won't have any round-by-round coverage, at least unless Brick or somebody orders this show and gets a post up.

But still, this card has generated a little bit of talk. Part of it has been T.K. Stewart reporting the trouble they're having selling tickets in Youngstown for a December 19 show, which makes all kinds of sense. This is the best way to put it, and it's in T.K.'s article:

A local resident and self-professed Kelly Pavlik supporter e-mailed the following to to me Tuesday morning:

"The last fight with Rubio that was at the Chevy Centre, the cheap seats sold out in about 20 minutes. Right now, if you wanted to, you could get an entire row of seats anywhere you want in the entire arena. I think working people (the ones that still have a job) here in the Mahoning Valley have had a choice to make with this fight. Do they spend their hard-earned money on fight tickets or on their families? Nothing against Kelly Pavlik - AT ALL - but I think that’s the choice that a lot of people had to make."

And then there's the outrage that this show is on pay-per-view and not HBO, Showtime, ESPN2 or Versus. I really hate when boxing fans so loudly make this an issue, because it boils down to some really simple stuff that you cannot simply ignore:

  • Neither HBO nor Showtime were taking this show. Period. They weren't paying for Pavlik-Espino. They wouldn't pay for Pavlik-Rubio, which was a much better fight. Rubio was at least top ten in the division at the time. Promoters don't just call up the network and say, "Hey, we're gonna need 9 to 11 on the 19th. OK, bye."
  • ESPN2 and Versus can't afford this show. Bob Arum stands to make more money on the PPV at $40 a pop than he does with the meager cash those networks have on hand for boxing. And besides, Versus just blew their wad on that Hopkins snoozer, and ESPN isn't in boxing season until January.
  • So you're left with an option: Pay-per-view. It's $40 to watch this show if you're that bored, that loaded (you can take this to mean "rich" or "drunk"), or that interested. Otherwise, whatever, you don't see this one. This is as good as it was getting. If the show is that bad (and you can reasonably argue that it is), just don't buy it. What are you missing?

But beyond all that, there are four fights on the PPV Saturday, and here's a quick look at each of them.

Middleweight Championship: Kelly Pavlik v. Miguel Espino

To be quite brutally honest, if Kelly Pavlik loses this fight, he's finished at the top level. That's how easy a matchup this should be. Espino is no better than the gatekeepers Pavlik smashed on the way up, the likes of Jose Luis Zertuche or Bronco McKart, and we saw what happened to them.

Espino is a pathetic challenger for the world's legit middleweight champ. I'm not trying to disrespect Espino, but it's a fact. His record is empty, he's never come close to this level, and he's not a fitting challenge. Pavlik's people could have found any number of better challengers who also had no risk. Espino goes BEYOND being without risk; this is a fight so lopsided on paper that it will make Pavlik look bad, honestly, if he doesn't get him out of there within six rounds.

Espino is small at a listed 5'11", doesn't have power (20-2-1, 9 KO), isn't a particularly skilled boxer, and wasn't even on the extended radar at 160 pounds when it came to contenders. If Pavlik is healthy, this won't last long. Watch the 1-2 go! Pavlik TKO-5

Lightweights: Humberto Soto v. Jesus Chavez

I'll get on THIS train: Top Rank should be ashamed for promoting this as a competitive, must-see scrap. Soto (49-7-2, 32 KO) is actually on a really unfortunate career path. There was that point in 2007 where it looked like he was going to land a fight with Manny Pacquiao, but then Marco Antonio Barrera got his spot in a pointless and forgettable rematch nobody much wanted to see. He took a fight in November 2007 with Joan Guzman and lost in a fight Guzman turned into a stinker, and since then he's been mostly running over inferiors.

That won't change Saturday. All respect in the world to Chavez, who was once a terrific fighter. But he's far past his prime and if Soto can handle the jump up to 135 (and he should be fine), he's going to get mauled. Chavez is 0-2 this year with an uncompetitive loss to Michael Katsidis in April and a spirited decision loss to a rusty David Diaz in September. As nice a guy as Diaz is, he's no Humberto Soto. This is an OK name notch on the belt for Humberto, but really nothing more. Soto TKO-9

Interim WBA Bantamweight Title: Nehomar Cermeno v. Alejandro Valdez

Cermeno (18-0, 10 KO) burst into the public eye with an upset win over Cristian Mijares, a disputed decision in March of this year. So they rematched in September. No one complained when Cermeno won that one. Valdez (21-2-3, 15 KO) was beating Fernando Montiel on that same September night on a different card in Mexico, but the fight was stopped and declared a technical draw after three due to a bad cut.

This is easily the most intriguing fight on the card, and it's not THAT intriguing. Personally, I have Cermeno ranked seventh at 118 pounds, with Valdez a bit outside of the top ten. Valdez is tall (5'8 1/2") and long (70") for the weight, and is a southpaw to boot. Cermeno is 30 years old and the Venezuelan (now living in Panama) came so out of nowhere that I tend to think he's due to be exposed a bit. I was never quite as crazy about Mijares as many were, anyway. Valdez UD-12

Junior Middleweights: Willie Lee v. Vanes Martirosyan

I'm starting to get the impression that someone at Top Rank doesn't have a lot of confidence in Martirosyan, who should really be fighting someone better than Lee at this point. Lee holds a tiny trinkey (NABF) and Martirosyan will get to leave the ring with a belt, but isn't it kind of stinky for his prospects that after 25 pro fights, they're actually having him arguably take a step BACK in opponents?

Lee (17-5, 11 KO) has been knocked out four times. The guys that have done it aren't so bad, granted. Chad Dawson (back when Bad Chad was considering a campaign at middleweight), Ishmail Arvin, Darnell Boone and Sechew Powell are the names on that list. But still. Lee's biggest win was his last one, over Alex Bunema, and Bunema looks spent.

Like the top two names of the show, Vanes should have zero trouble. Martirosyan TKO-6

(It wouldn't shock me if Top Rank is at least lightly considering pushing Vanes up to 160 to take on Pavlik, either.)

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People can let me know if they plan on getting the card

I might be able to do RBR, and at the very least, I can set up an open thread. But if nobody plans on watching it anyway, it might not be worth it. Only one fight on the card is even remotely interesting to me.

Bad Left Hook - The SB Nation boxing blog
"Baseball is played on the field, not on a calculator."

by Brickhaus on Dec 17, 2009 12:53 PM EST reply actions  

Also

I think Pavlik might be pretty close to finished at the top level anyway. Not so much because he’s fading, but because there are so many up and coming good fighters. He won’t be able to avoid them forever, and I think Hopkins did a good job of writing the book on how to beat Pavlik, if you have the talent and skill to execute that gameplan.

Bad Left Hook - The SB Nation boxing blog
"Baseball is played on the field, not on a calculator."

by Brickhaus on Dec 17, 2009 12:55 PM EST reply actions  

I agree 100% with you on that. And why would anyone purchase this garbage on PPV.

"If you sit there and watch a person take about an hour to tie his shoestrings, then you realize that whatever problems you got ain't that significant"
---Vernon Forrest 2006

by The Midnight Rambler on Dec 17, 2009 2:19 PM EST up reply actions  

$5? Sure. $9.99 on a night when I have nothing better to do, maybe, just maybe. But $40? They can’t be serious. It smacks of a last-ditch effort to capitalize on Pavlik’s fame and pre-Hopkins status.

by ocelot on Dec 17, 2009 12:58 PM EST reply actions  

This totally sux to the max!

"If you sit there and watch a person take about an hour to tie his shoestrings, then you realize that whatever problems you got ain't that significant"
---Vernon Forrest 2006

by The Midnight Rambler on Dec 17, 2009 2:20 PM EST up reply actions  

One other thing

Since Arum’s OTHER card with Cristobal Cruz moved to the same night, and Cruz-Castillo is a way the hell better fight than anything on the card, why not make it a triple-site PPV and at least attempt to serve up something decent?

Bad Left Hook - The SB Nation boxing blog
"Baseball is played on the field, not on a calculator."

by Brickhaus on Dec 17, 2009 1:01 PM EST reply actions  

911.. I'll Hold

If you always thought what you thought, then you wouldn't think what you knew.

by Haans Bishop on Dec 17, 2009 1:19 PM EST reply actions  

Me too

"If you sit there and watch a person take about an hour to tie his shoestrings, then you realize that whatever problems you got ain't that significant"
---Vernon Forrest 2006

by The Midnight Rambler on Dec 17, 2009 2:20 PM EST up reply actions  

Pavlik doesn’t look very happy on that poster. With a smokestack pouring black, stinky smoke into his face, I don’t blame him. Was that supposed to make Youngstown appealing, or to somehow give props to it’s Industrial Revolution roots? I’ll say one thing…a $40 PPV is a slap in the face to Kelly’s Ohio fans…..so close to Christmas, if you have the choice of buying your kid a Christmas present or watching this card, what do you think most people are going to do? Something is rotten in the state of Ohio, and I think it’s Kelly’s management team.

by FrankinDallas on Dec 17, 2009 2:26 PM EST reply actions  

He should get out of that cesspool and move to Vegas.

"If you sit there and watch a person take about an hour to tie his shoestrings, then you realize that whatever problems you got ain't that significant"
---Vernon Forrest 2006

by The Midnight Rambler on Dec 17, 2009 3:23 PM EST up reply actions  

Remove the original text from that poster, photo-shop a tear onto his face….then new text: “Iron Eyes Kelly Says: Keep America Beautiful”

by FCF on Dec 17, 2009 7:20 PM EST up reply actions  

its really a crime that chavez is on this card or even fighting period. he hasn’t been the same since the leavander johnson fight and now is clearly a shot fighter who cant pull the trigger anymore. him of all people should know not to fight, especially after what happened in the johnson fight. its pretty amazing that arum or anyone really would put him on a card.

@mikefareri on twitter.

by sonofapsycho on Dec 17, 2009 3:15 PM EST reply actions  

Thisis a grim card indeed.

"If you sit there and watch a person take about an hour to tie his shoestrings, then you realize that whatever problems you got ain't that significant"
---Vernon Forrest 2006

by The Midnight Rambler on Dec 17, 2009 3:22 PM EST up reply actions  

What a letdown

I remember waking up (barely) in time to see Pavlik KO Taylor in their first fight, wonder what the hell had just happened, and then set two alarms for the rerun the next morning. I swore there and then that I would never miss another minute of a Pavlik fight (having already been blown away by his barnstormer vs Miranda)

Fast forward to the present, and if Pavlik and Espino were fighting in my back garden, I’d release the hounds.

by FCF on Dec 17, 2009 7:11 PM EST reply actions  

amen, brother, amen

"If you sit there and watch a person take about an hour to tie his shoestrings, then you realize that whatever problems you got ain't that significant"
---Vernon Forrest 2006

by The Midnight Rambler on Dec 17, 2009 8:42 PM EST up reply actions  

Such a shame – and I can’t believe I’m saying that about the Proper Middleweight Champion of the World. He is still young – maybe he can get back to where he was? Needs better advisers/management/promoters/whatever, though – basically, everybody apart from himself should go (and I’m sure that’s not an original thought!)

by FCF on Dec 18, 2009 6:30 AM EST up reply actions  

But it’s a correct thought. The kid would do well to get Manny Steward to help him and move to Las Vegas.

"If you sit there and watch a person take about an hour to tie his shoestrings, then you realize that whatever problems you got ain't that significant"
---Vernon Forrest 2006

by The Midnight Rambler on Dec 18, 2009 11:43 AM EST up reply actions  

I probably would end up watching it if I also wasn’t going to a Christmas party. The Christmas parties and the tight holiday budgets are really gonna hurt the sales of this PPV. The Pavlik opponent is bad enough, but yeah I think Soto deserves a bigger fight than Chavez. I’d like to see Martirosyan fight though as I’ve never see him before.

by BloodMeridian on Dec 18, 2009 12:18 AM EST reply actions  

 Martirosyan is a monster

"If you sit there and watch a person take about an hour to tie his shoestrings, then you realize that whatever problems you got ain't that significant"
---Vernon Forrest 2006

by The Midnight Rambler on Dec 18, 2009 11:42 AM EST up reply actions  

I’ll say it loud and clear: This has to be the worse PPV in history. A 363 pound slob. And a bunch of mismatches. Igh!

"If you sit there and watch a person take about an hour to tie his shoestrings, then you realize that whatever problems you got ain't that significant"
---Vernon Forrest 2006

by The Midnight Rambler on Dec 19, 2009 9:54 PM EST reply actions  

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