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Fight Preview: Paul Williams v. Sergio Martinez

Paul Williams meets Sergio Martinez tonight on HBO. (Photo by Ethan Miller / Getty Images)

Paul Williams meets Sergio Martinez tonight on HBO. (Photo by Ethan Miller / Getty Images)

Paul Williams and Sergio Martinez have had quite an actionless few months. But they've managed to stay in the press.

  • Paul Williams was supposed to be fighting Kelly Pavlik for the middleweight championship.
  • Sergio Martinez called out Joshua Clottey. Then insulted him in the press.
  • Sergio Martinez got into a verbal war with Vanes Martirosyan that amounted to zilch.
  • Sergio Martinez ripped Sergio Mora in the press.
  • Sergio Martinez pretty much ripped everyone.

Now, with Williams and Martinez both claiming that nobody will fight them, they're stuck with each other at Boardwalk Hall in Atlantic City, tonight on HBO at 9:30pm ET.

You can't say these guys won't back themselves up.

So what happens in this one? You've got two lefties, both with long reaches. Martinez (44-1-2, 22 KO) is, as Harold Lederman said in February, "a cutie if I ever sawr one." Martinez loves to stay at distance, almost taunting opponents with his hands at his sides, looking for just the right time to move in, then back out.

He's a fantastic disruptor of rhythm. But can Williams (37-1, 27 KO) have his rhythm disrupted? Winky Wright tried to do that this summer, but Williams found a way to keep throwing no matter what, even if he had to throw a punch under his own held arm.

This is a fight that begs for one of them to be a victim of a "bad matchup." Early thought might tell you to beware Martinez as a spoiler tonight, and that came into my mind too. Lefty, long reach, very smart in the ring.

But the bad matchup is going to be Sergio's. Paul Williams is too active, too long, too tall and too good for Martinez, who wasn't exactly looking like a world-beater against Kermit Cintron, though he definitely should have won that fight instead of being handed that ludicrous draw.

HBO seems to really like Martinez, and with good reason. He's a very, very good fighter. But I think Williams is simply a class above him. There are a lot of terrific fighters that Martinez could give fits. I just don't think Williams is one of them. The matchup is all wrong for Sergio. Williams by decision.

On the undercard, Cristobal Arreola comes in at his heaviest weight ever, tipping the scales at 263 pounds, to face veteran Brian Minto. Minto's not as good as his 34-2 record, and I expect Arreola to bust him out of there pretty quickly, within the first four rounds. But Minto will come to fight, and it'll be a decent show.

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I think Martinez is a very live dog for this fight…

"Boxing is dirty," said Casamayor. " The day I’m not ready to be a dirty fighter is the day I don’t fight anymore because it will mean that I have no heart for it anymore."

by Zocalo on Dec 5, 2009 7:30 PM EST reply actions  

ya i was kinda hyped for this fight till i read this article … lol

i guess it would be better for me to expect a verno philips/winky type showing :(

by boxzilla on Dec 5, 2009 7:40 PM EST up reply actions  

I could be wrong. I just see no way Martinez beats Williams.

Bad Left Hook
"If bulls**t was poetry, Ray 'Boom Boom' Mancini's name would be Shakespeare." -- Dennis Rappaport

by Scott Christ on Dec 5, 2009 7:50 PM EST up reply actions  

If Quintana beat Williams, Martinez COULD beat Williams

I do think Williams had an off night that night and Quintana fought perfectly to win close, but if Martinez can time him and counter effectively, he could pull off the upset.

Bad Left Hook - The SB Nation boxing blog
"Baseball is played on the field, not on a calculator."

by Brickhaus on Dec 5, 2009 7:54 PM EST up reply actions  

Williams isn’t a fighter without flaws… he isn’t some unworldly fighter that hasn’t be exposed. He has lost vs a guy who isn’t as skilled or as accomplished in Quintana.

"Boxing is dirty," said Casamayor. " The day I’m not ready to be a dirty fighter is the day I don’t fight anymore because it will mean that I have no heart for it anymore."

by Zocalo on Dec 5, 2009 7:56 PM EST up reply actions  

What has Martinez accomplished that Quintana hasn’t?

Bad Left Hook
"If bulls**t was poetry, Ray 'Boom Boom' Mancini's name would be Shakespeare." -- Dennis Rappaport

by Scott Christ on Dec 5, 2009 7:59 PM EST up reply actions  

well one thing is he wasnt demolished in 5rds by cotto … it took margo 7 :)

rethinking this fight as a realist if pwill is the p4p fighter that many consider him to be martinez doesnt have much of a chance. and looking at sergio’s record now leaves me with even less faith he has much of a chance.

by boxzilla on Dec 5, 2009 8:07 PM EST up reply actions  

I have not seeing any footage of the Margarito/Martinez fight( I think it was on the undercard of the epic Morales/MAB fight) but that was what 10 years ago?
 
How much stock can you put into that?

"Boxing is dirty," said Casamayor. " The day I’m not ready to be a dirty fighter is the day I don’t fight anymore because it will mean that I have no heart for it anymore."

by Zocalo on Dec 5, 2009 8:10 PM EST up reply actions  

naw i was just kidding about that … that was a classic margo fight tho

i was thinking this was a solid matchup and martinez being a skillful world-class fighter the upset a possibility. but really rethinking it after reading the piece by sc in reality made me think sergio doesnt. nothing in his resume makes me think he can beat pwill. his only real chance is that pwill got beat once by a guy with similar style/credentials. only prob about that is, in reality it just seemed like an off nite. and that same guy is who pwill used as sparring for this fight.

by boxzilla on Dec 5, 2009 8:21 PM EST up reply actions  

If Martinez wins, it’ll be because he’s better than I think he is, which will be a-OK by me.

Bad Left Hook
"If bulls**t was poetry, Ray 'Boom Boom' Mancini's name would be Shakespeare." -- Dennis Rappaport

by Scott Christ on Dec 5, 2009 8:23 PM EST up reply actions  

i wouldn’t be upset about the upset … just would make me have to rethink how good pwill and martinez truly are.

by boxzilla on Dec 5, 2009 8:30 PM EST up reply actions  

I am not sure what you are getting at…

Martinez has been at the top of his division for several years… granted 154 leaves alot to be desired but he has been the number 1 guy at least in my eyes for a while.

Quintana has been um…what maybe top 10 at welterweight for a year?

"Boxing is dirty," said Casamayor. " The day I’m not ready to be a dirty fighter is the day I don’t fight anymore because it will mean that I have no heart for it anymore."

by Zocalo on Dec 5, 2009 8:07 PM EST up reply actions  

Martinez has been at the top of his division for several years

WTF? He’s only even been in the Ring’s top ten for 61 weeks. He was fighting a bunch of bums and scrubs before he beat Bunema.

Quintana has been um…what maybe top 10 at welterweight for a year?

Quintana has been in the Ring’s top ten at 147 for 95 weeks.

Bad Left Hook
"If bulls**t was poetry, Ray 'Boom Boom' Mancini's name would be Shakespeare." -- Dennis Rappaport

by Scott Christ on Dec 5, 2009 8:14 PM EST up reply actions  

I will man up and say I was wrong… It just seems like he has been a top fighter for longer.

I still believe that he is more skilled than Quintana.

"Boxing is dirty," said Casamayor. " The day I’m not ready to be a dirty fighter is the day I don’t fight anymore because it will mean that I have no heart for it anymore."

by Zocalo on Dec 5, 2009 8:24 PM EST up reply actions  

Oh we agree, Martinez is better than Quintana. Williams learned a ton from that Quintana fight, I think, and has been almost untouchable since then.

Bad Left Hook
"If bulls**t was poetry, Ray 'Boom Boom' Mancini's name would be Shakespeare." -- Dennis Rappaport

by Scott Christ on Dec 5, 2009 8:25 PM EST up reply actions  

Not much

But Martinez is longer, bigger and quicker than Quintana coming from a similar stance, and he was able to counter Bunema at will.

Bad Left Hook - The SB Nation boxing blog
"Baseball is played on the field, not on a calculator."

by Brickhaus on Dec 5, 2009 8:13 PM EST up reply actions  

Let’s get it on.

"If you sit there and watch a person take about an hour to tie his shoestrings, then you realize that whatever problems you got ain't that significant"
---Vernon Forrest 2006

by The Midnight Rambler on Dec 5, 2009 8:11 PM EST reply actions  

OT… Taken is such a kickass movie but the daughter and mom are beyond stupid.

"Boxing is dirty," said Casamayor. " The day I’m not ready to be a dirty fighter is the day I don’t fight anymore because it will mean that I have no heart for it anymore."

by Zocalo on Dec 5, 2009 8:25 PM EST reply actions  

Anyone really disappointed that Arreloa just basically said fuck it… I don’t care about my weight?

"Boxing is dirty," said Casamayor. " The day I’m not ready to be a dirty fighter is the day I don’t fight anymore because it will mean that I have no heart for it anymore."

by Zocalo on Dec 5, 2009 8:27 PM EST reply actions  

Yes. Very. I really like the guy and I think he has the tools to be a tremendous heavyweight attraction for a long time, but he either doesn’t give a shit or is really thick headed. The whipping Klitschko gave him wasn’t good enough to wake him up? To let him know that if you’re going to be a truly top-tier fighter, you have to sacrifice greatly? Lampley laid it out perfectly: The Klitschkos eat, sleep and breathe boxing, 365 days a year. It’s what they do. Guys like Arreola aren’t going to beat them.

Bad Left Hook
"If bulls**t was poetry, Ray 'Boom Boom' Mancini's name would be Shakespeare." -- Dennis Rappaport

by Scott Christ on Dec 5, 2009 8:35 PM EST up reply actions  

I remember someone saying this… anything worth having doesn’t come easy..

If he wants to be an elite fighter he needs to stop drinking beer, lay off the chile rellenos, and actually do some weight management.

"Boxing is dirty," said Casamayor. " The day I’m not ready to be a dirty fighter is the day I don’t fight anymore because it will mean that I have no heart for it anymore."

by Zocalo on Dec 5, 2009 8:39 PM EST up reply actions  

He has that late night snack issue. Since I gave that up, I have lost 31 pounds. It’s hard not to go out and get a nice burrito with some Tecate at 10:00 pm.

"If you sit there and watch a person take about an hour to tie his shoestrings, then you realize that whatever problems you got ain't that significant"
---Vernon Forrest 2006

by The Midnight Rambler on Dec 5, 2009 11:33 PM EST up reply actions  

i was really hoping he woulda smartened up after his loss. its frustrating to see him come in at his career heaviest when that loss shouldve cause him to refocus and make some real lifestyle changes

by boxzilla on Dec 5, 2009 8:45 PM EST up reply actions  

Disappointed, yes

Surprised, no. He wasn’t even in GREAT shape for Vitali. You think Minto’s going to
inspire him to workout?

by The Boxer Rebellion on Dec 5, 2009 8:37 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

No, not Minto. The fact that Vitali Klitschko taught him that if you don’t train hard, you’ll get your ass kicked by someone that does should have tipped him. At this point it’s a lost cause. He either thinks he can become the world’s best heavyweight like this, or that isn’t really his goal. Either way, I guess you could say I sort of lost interest in paying real attention to his career.

Bad Left Hook
"If bulls**t was poetry, Ray 'Boom Boom' Mancini's name would be Shakespeare." -- Dennis Rappaport

by Scott Christ on Dec 5, 2009 9:03 PM EST up reply actions  

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