Official Picks for Froch-Taylor and Lopez-Penalosa
Quick Note: I know I haven't gotten around to posting the results of Williams-Wright, but I'll either get that up before these cards or I'll just put it all together for early next week. Apologies!
Second Note: We will have live, round-by-round coverage of both cards on Saturday night, plus tomorrow night's special ShoBox, which I'm also going to throw into the picks mix.
Third Note: We're not going to pick the undercard bouts this time around, because none of them are...I dunno, big enough or competitive enough. Feel free to throw your picks out, but we're not gonna count them. Too many people won't know one guy or another guy.
Friday, Showtime: Cory Spinks v. Deandre Latimore (12 Rounds - Vacant IBF Junior Middleweight Title)
Spinks (36-5, 11 KO) has been out of the ring following back-to-back losses to Jermain Taylor and Verno Phillips, and that layoff has now reached just about 13 months to the day when he climbs into the ring on Friday in St. Louis. Both are natives of the city so there won't be any real homecourt advantage. You all know Spinks: He'll do what he does, and I doubt the layoff will make him any less effective. I also feel compelled to again argue that Verno Phillips had no business getting the decision against him last March. That was some pretty bad ringside judging from my view, but then again my view was a Don King webcast. Col. Bob had it for Spinks, too, but then again Spinks was the house fighter. (I didn't have it quite so wide as Col. Bob.)
Spinks turned 31 in February. Across the ring from him will be 23-year old Latimore (19-1, 16 KO). Deandre has been sitting on his ranking since upsetting a baked Sechew Powell on Friday Night Fights last June. That fight was a massive step up in competition for Latimore and for whatever reason (munchies? paranoia?), Powell seemed totally disinterested and unprepared. It's hard to really learn a lot from that fight. Powell just was not mentally there. Latimore has a good KO rate, but Spinks has been stopped just once, by Zab Judah in 2005 at 147 pounds. He's slick, hard to hit, and will be without question the best fighter the young Latimore has ever faced.
I hate to do it. I wanna say the young blood gets the nod. Don't think it's gonna happen, and I suspect if it does it'll be some more questionable scoring that does the real deed. Spinks UD-12
Featured on the undercard: Devon Alexander should wipe the mat with Chuy Rodriguez.
Saturday, Showtime: Carl Froch v. Jermain Taylor (12 Rounds - Froch's WBC Super Middleweight Title on the line)
Speaking of guys facing their best opposition ever, that's what Froch (24-0, 19 KO) has on his hands as he makes his first business trip to the States to meet Jermain Taylor on the semi-neutral ground that is Mashantucket, Conn.
Taylor (28-2-1, 17 KO) bounced back from consecutive defeats to Kelly Pavlik to wail on Jeff Lacy last November, but one thing about that sort of bothers me with regard to Froch: Lacy is a pretty slow-moving, durable guy with some power. He hurt Jermain in that fight. Froch is a fairly slow-moving, durable guy with better hand speed and more initiative than Lacy. Froch can dish out some good blows, too. The fact that Jean Pascal made it to the distance against Froch in their December war spoke highly of both guys, I thought. Each of them turned in what was probably their career-best performance.
Froch has a lot to prove. Beating Taylor could mean a payday back home with Mikkel Kessler if promotional issues get sorted out there, or a fight back on the road with Lucian Bute in Montreal down the line, and Bute fights are money at the Bell Centre. If Taylor wins I'm not sure what he'd want to do. I can't imagine him going over to Europe to fight Kessler or anyone, nor do I think he'd venture to Montreal to fight Bute. Taylor is The Star of these guys, at least in America, at least relatively speaking. He'll want them to come to him. He could take a "stay-busy" sort of defense against Allan Green should Green win on the undercard, since Taylor-Green was the idea for this show before Showtime ponied up for Froch. Eventually I figure he's going to 175 anyway, for better or worse.
Buuuut, back to the matter at hand: I really like JT. He's one of my favorite fighters, and by that I mean he's one of my favorite guys in boxing. Humble, funny, easygoing, doesn't talk a ton of trash, never seems to want to get all "personal." I think he's going to lose this fight. I think at some point, Froch is going to press him, hurt him, and move in for the kill when he sees an opportunity. Taylor fought Lacy with a mild arrogance that wasn't befitting a guy that needed the W to get his career back on track. Froch is hungry enough, strong enough, and good enough to really take him down if that happens again. Maybe a mild upset to some, but I'm going with the titleholder. Froch TKO-10
Featured on the undercard: If Allan Green's colon is good and he stops looking at his feet, he should be able to handle Carlos de Leon, Jr. -- but an upset would not surprise me in the least.
Saturday, HBO: Juan Manuel Lopez v. Gerry Penalosa (12 Rounds - Lopez's WBO Junior Featherweight title on the line)
Juanma (24-0, 22 KO) has become one of the sport's most exciting young phenoms, and with James Kirkland likely done for the time being, he might just be the most exciting young, already established fighter in the sport. Hell, he might've been anyway. Your mileage may vary.
Lopez really hasn't fought much at all in about a year, when Jonathan Oquendo took him into the third round. Since then he's brutally waxed Daniel Ponce de Leon in a fight where many thought he might finally meet some real resistance, then he got rid of Cesar Figueroa in 47 seconds, and then Sergio Medina disgraced himself and the sport with the debacle in December in which he clearly did not come to fight, defend himself, or do anything but collect his paycheck, go home, and make up stories.
36-year old Penalosa (54-6-2, 36 KO) has been boxing professionally since 1989 -- yup, 1989. Ken Griffey Jr.'s rookie season. Brett Favre wasn't even in the NFL. The now-retired Oscar de la Hoya was three years away from Olympic gold. Look Who's Talking was the fourth-biggest movie in America.
What a world.
He has a wealth of experience, he's a cagey veteran, and he's a good boxer. He took Ponce de Leon to the limit the last time he came up to 122 pounds, only to have the judges score it obscenely wide for Ponce. Returning to bantamweight, he ripped Jhonny Gonzalez and sent him packing from the division, then stopped Ratanachai Sor Vorapin in April of last year. He took a tune-up fight in February, beating undistinguished Mexican German Meraz over 10 rounds.
It would be foolish of the Lopez camp to think they'll run through Penalosa as they've done the last three guys they've fought, and as they've done most of the guys Lopez has faced in his career. But I think that's more or less exactly what's going to happen. Penalosa is three inches shorter (5'4") than Lopez and has the exact same disadvantage in reach (68" - 65"). Lopez is a good boxer as well as being a powerhouse. He's bigger, younger, faster, stronger. Lopez TKO-4
Featured on the undercard: Lamont Peterson takes on Frenchman Willy Blain, who has no power (20-0, 3 KO) but a legit amateur background. I get the feeling Lamont has a tougher time with Blain than he expects, but pulls out a decision win.
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44 comments
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Comments
picks
Latimore – SD
Taylor – UD
Lopez – TKO 7
by Option27 on Apr 23, 2009 4:50 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Dinks Picks
Froch TKO 11
Come on Cobra!!! Have him
Spinks SD 12
Lopez UD 12
I just got a feeling Penalosa can ride this out till the end.
"But I was going into Toshi Station to pick up some power converters"-Luke Skywalker
by dinkman on Apr 23, 2009 5:32 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
PICKS
Jermain Taylor wins by 11th TKO
Latimore by 8th Round KO
Lopez by 3rd Round KO
by JasonTryp on Apr 23, 2009 7:17 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
My picks-
Taylor- UD-12
Lopez- TKO-5
Spinks- UD-12
(BTW- the first picker in this thread has got Spinks on PTS- Would I be right in saying he can get a win with that prediction but not a KO?)
Boxing is the beginning of all sports. I'm willing to bet that the first sport was a man against another man in a fight. (Omar Epps)
by Chaos100 on Apr 23, 2009 8:38 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Official picks
Taylor – UD
Lopez – UD
Stinks – UD
I’m amazed at how almost everyone I talk to feels very strongly one way or the other about Taylor-Froch. It’s either “Taylor won’t be able to handle Froch’s pressure” or “Taylor will box circles around Frock”, but almost nobody sees it as a 50/50 fight, even though it’s close to a 50/50 fight. I’ve felt from the beginning that this was a mismatch in favor of Jermain as long as he can fight smart. His problem is that he usually doesn’t fight smart for a full 12 rounds. It’s a big jump up for Froch though, and Taylor would eat Pascal for breakfast, so that’s not a great measuring stick. If Taylor doesn’t lose focus, Froch is just way too slow to deal with any quick boxer.
Vogt early, Vogt often.
by Brickhaus on Apr 23, 2009 9:07 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Gospel
Spinks – TKO 10
Froch – TKO 9
Lopez – TKO 5
by strike4A on Apr 23, 2009 9:23 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Latimore- UD- Here’s hoping the young’un can banish the “Spinks Stylistic Cancer” from the airwaves once and for all. Also Spinks hasn’t fought since he allowed the judges to vote against him when he fought Verno Phillips, so ring rust could be a factor.
Jermain Taylor- TKO 10- Taylor is just a better fighter than Froch, he may be a bit amateurish at times, but he’s a better defensive fighter. Taylor is going to hit Froch with his right hand practically every time he throws it and Froch won’t be able to stand up to it all night. I fear for Carl Froch’s future health if he continues to use a hands down reflex based defensive style when he clearly doesn’t have the Hamedlike speed to get away with it.
Penalosa-MD- I just can’t count the old man out. I think he’s too skilled and experienced for the young Juanma. With Juanma’s track record of quick ko’s, he might lose focus when the fight goes past the halfway mark and allow Penalosa to pull ahead and take a close, but deserved decision. If Juanma blows Gerry out or is impressive in beating him, he will have officially won me over.
by dervish686 on Apr 23, 2009 10:23 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
One thing that I forgot to mention with regard to my pick for Penalosa, he likes fighting lefties and Juanma doesn’t. The scent of the veteran upset is in the air.
by dervish686 on Apr 23, 2009 7:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Picks from Living Legend
Spinks UD
Taylor UD
Lopez KO 2
by SkeedTom on Apr 23, 2009 11:39 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
picks
froch ko11. i’m really liking him here. think he wears taylor out and finishes him off late.
lopez tko 5. i loved penalosa forever. i remember reading about him in ring mag back in the day and remember how stoked i was when he was going to fight on tuesday night fights way back in the day. his time is up though. he was pretty lucky in his last fight, i’m thinking lopez is just too young and strong for him.
latimore ud12 – this one is a pick em ithink. i can see spinks winning this easy in a 12 round stink fest. however, i’m going to go with the younger guy here. spinks layoff will hurt him. i’m more excited to see leon spinks in the audience than the fight.
by sonofapsycho on Apr 23, 2009 12:45 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Taylor UD
Spinks UD
Lopez KO6
Taylor’s too fast; Lopez is too powerful; and Spinks is too slick.
Boxing writer: "Iran, what are you going to do when you retire?"
Iran Barkley: "Rob your house"
by Matt Miller on Apr 23, 2009 2:09 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
For the love of god… Latimore UD.
Taylor UD… He has proven to me that he is elite. Froch hasn’t, and I happen to think Pascal sucks.
Lopez KO 7… Lopez has scary one punch knockout power along with being skilled. Complete boxer puncher.
"Boxing is dirty," said Casamayor. " The day I’m not ready to be a dirty fighter is the day I don’t fight anymore because it will mean that I have no heart for it anymore."
by Zocalo on Apr 23, 2009 3:40 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I was about to think I was the only one picking Latimore
by Option27 on Apr 23, 2009 6:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I just hate Spinks more so than I like Latimore.
"Boxing is dirty," said Casamayor. " The day I’m not ready to be a dirty fighter is the day I don’t fight anymore because it will mean that I have no heart for it anymore."
by Zocalo on Apr 23, 2009 9:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Here we go
Spinks UD
Taylor UD
Lopez Tko 5
by Upstait on Apr 23, 2009 6:23 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Picks
Taylor UD
Latimore UD
Lopez TKO 8
by Full Throttle on Apr 23, 2009 7:04 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Taylor – TKO 10
Latimore – UD
Juanma Lopez – TKO 4
The Dude Abides
by battle axe of doom on Apr 23, 2009 7:53 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Picks
Froch – UD 12
Lattimore – UD 12
Lopez – TKO 6
Seattle: Where the sun coming out or snow falling takes up 20 minutes of a 1 hour local news broadcast.
by SSreporters on Apr 23, 2009 10:41 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Picks
Taylor TKO 9 – Motivation is the only roadblock here as far as I’m concerned. I like Froch but from the tape I have seen he doesn’t have near the skills to keep Taylor from looking good in this one. Taylor could find himself in trouble at a point or two but ultimately Froch will crumble.
Spinks UD 12 – I’m putting a load of money on this at -135. Scoring a TKO over a high, completely disinterested fringe contender like the Iron Horse does not make you an elite fighter. In my opinion Cory Spinks is the best 154 pounder in the world. I thought he outpointed both Phillips and Taylor. He gets a bad wrap but he plays all the angles and will win this fight easily with a snapping jab and precision counterpunching. The judges can’t rob Spinks here as this will be wide in the 119-109 range if we don’t see a white towel.
Lopez TKO 10 – Interesting fight. This is a massive step up for Lopez (DPDL withstanding, who was a style match made in heaven). I think Penalosa will be semi-competitive enough but he is not big enough nor strong enough to dance with Juanma for the full 12. Likely an accumulation stoppage in the mid-to-late rounds.
Great weekend for boxing IMO.
by BabyBull1289 on Apr 23, 2009 10:42 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Outpointed Taylor?
My goodness… he ran like a bitch the entire fight and never once landed a meaningful punch.
"Boxing is dirty," said Casamayor. " The day I’m not ready to be a dirty fighter is the day I don’t fight anymore because it will mean that I have no heart for it anymore."
by Zocalo on Apr 23, 2009 11:09 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No offense but Spinks didn’t come close to beating Taylor. That is madness. Spinks ran and ran and ran and never once engaged. He did slap at Taylor a few times, then continued his jogging. It was a wretched fight and entirely his fault.
"If they cut my bald head open, they will find one big boxing glove. That's all I am. I live it." -- Marvin Hagler
by SC on Apr 24, 2009 3:30 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
And there off
Spinks – UD. He will look to counter and get off on angles. Latimore i think will be a little frustrated looking for something big and get reckless which will allow Spinks to counter even better.
Taylor – UD. I think he will try keep his head then entire fight and box. He always seems to lay off in the middle and its cost him in the past i hope he has learnt his lesson.
Lopez TKO 5th. Lopez has good skill and we all know he can bang. Penalosa will ride out the storm for early rounds but Lopez gets in there and does what he does
by sigidy on Apr 24, 2009 1:35 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Spinks SD
Lopez KO4
Froch UD — defintiely more excited to see what froch will do if he wins than what taylor might. Come on the cobra!
by thirdslip on Apr 24, 2009 3:54 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
My turn
Spinks – UD
Lozez KO 9 UD
Froch
Wear something sexy to my funeral.
by Pops Daniels on Apr 24, 2009 10:43 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Still not sure why the cross outs
didn’t use the tab. Oh, well.
Wear something sexy to my funeral.
by Pops Daniels on Apr 24, 2009 10:44 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
formatting can be goofy
"If they cut my bald head open, they will find one big boxing glove. That's all I am. I live it." -- Marvin Hagler
by SC on Apr 24, 2009 3:30 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
picks
Spinks UD
Taylor UD (and probably a wide UD)
Lopez KO3
by BrianBrock on Apr 24, 2009 3:06 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Spinks – UD = slick
Taylor – UD = Too much class and speed for “the Cobra”
Lopez – UD = Penalosa is very durable (never Knocked Down?)
by Brett87 on Apr 24, 2009 4:00 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Picks
Lattimore SD
Taylor UD
Juanma TKO 5
"Karma - there it was. The meaning of life, straight from Carson Daly's lips to my morphine-laced ears." -Earl Hickey
by BLee2525 on Apr 24, 2009 5:37 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Picks
Spinks-SD
Taylor-KO 10
Lopez-KO 9
by missmanners on Apr 24, 2009 6:09 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Latimore MD
Taylor KO 8
Lopez KO 2
Latimore/ Spinks… Here’s the thing: I fully believe there will be at least ONE judge who will fall asleep and dream that Cory’s is “effective” enough to win six rounds. Everyone else will see what actually happened, which will be a fairly wide decision for Deandre.
Otherwise, this will be Taylor’s comeback party. He won’t get as much credit as he deserves for stopping the Cobra, but will deserve a lot. Someone already said that this fight is a 50/50 situation and I think its close to true. But Froch’s defensive lapses will catch up to him in the late going, I think.
"This fight'll be the nastiest thing you'll ever see. I been sober for six weeks, and that makes me vicious."
-- Randall 'Tex' Cobb
by jrok on Apr 24, 2009 6:32 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Taylor KO 10
Lopez KO 4
Spinks SD
Tough call on the Spinks fight. He’s pretty effective, I’d be more confident if he had fought more recently. I think he’ll frustrate Latimore, and I know he’ll frustrate me. This is a fight where, even though I picked Spinks to win, I hope Latimore destroys him
by lcollins1 on Apr 24, 2009 7:33 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Spinks-UD
Taylor-UD
Lopez-TKO5
You're not foolin me Kerry Collins.
by TitanFan2K on Apr 25, 2009 12:44 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
12:44 AM?
"This fight'll be the nastiest thing you'll ever see. I been sober for six weeks, and that makes me vicious."
-- Randall 'Tex' Cobb
by jrok on Apr 25, 2009 1:20 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
yeah the Spinks pick won't count
"If they cut my bald head open, they will find one big boxing glove. That's all I am. I live it." -- Marvin Hagler
by SC on Apr 25, 2009 2:38 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

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