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Official Picks for Dawson-Tarver II

(Photo by Will Hart, via www.hbo.com)

(Photo by Will Hart, via www.hbo.com)

Since we only did the one fight last week, I'm going to combine this one with Hatton-Pacquiao for next week's standings update.

Chad Dawson v. Antonio Tarver (Rematch, 12 Rounds - Dawson's IBF and IBO light heavyweight title)

Dawson easily outpointed Tarver last October, and by "easily" I mean "widely." Tarver barely dented Dawson, but he fought fairly well given his age, his recent performances, and his general overrated stature. It's not that Tarver hasn't done some really good stuff, but let's be honest: Outside of having Roy Jones' number (which he definitely did), what's he done that a lot of other guys haven't?

Dawson is 13 1/2 years Tarver's junior and has everything going for him in this fight. He beat him once without much trouble, is younger, stronger, faster, and didn't have any trouble with his fellow southpaw's style before.

But it's worth noting: Tarver has done very well in rematches over his career, and if he solves Dawson this time around, that's a big one. He lost to Eric Harding in 2000, beat him in 2002. He lost (controversially) to Jones in 2003, knocked him out in 2004, and beat him again in 2005. Between the second and third Jones fights, he lost to Glen Johnson, then rematched and beat him.

He's only lost to one guy so far that he didn't rematch: Bernard Hopkins, and he's not gonna get a chance to fix that one. With Dawson, he gets his chance again.

But I don't think he can do it. He's just not good enough anymore, and Dawson is at the age where if he's panning out as a real star fighter, he's just going to get better for the time being. This isn't a deep pick, and I don't expect many to go the other way: Dawson beats him again. This time, he stops him. Dawson TKO-10

0 recs  |  Comment 36 comments |

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dawson UD

tarver is past it and dawson’s too good … but i dont see dawson putting him away

by 3zilla on May 7, 2009 10:57 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Dawson UD….

"Boxing is dirty," said Casamayor. " The day I’m not ready to be a dirty fighter is the day I don’t fight anymore because it will mean that I have no heart for it anymore."

by Zocalo on May 7, 2009 11:23 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Dawson UD — I’m such a bandwagon jumper.

by schraubd on May 7, 2009 11:38 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Pick

Dawson SD 12 – The best case scenario would be Dawson putting us out of Tarver’s misery in tremendous, TKO-4 style. That said, there are enough question marks in Dawson’s camp (motivation, injury) for me to call for the SD and hope for the knockout. For such us a stinker of a rematch, stinker of a promotion, maybe we will get a stinker of a fight.

by BabyBull1289 on May 8, 2009 12:36 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

dawson tko 9

The Dude Abides

by battle axe of doom on May 8, 2009 12:37 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

wasn't even going to watch this

but nothing else to do.

tarver ko 3, lucky one punch.

im kidding.

my pick is dawson UD. although dawson is a vulnerable guy, his chin isn’t good at all. so i wouldn’t be surprised if tarver catches him. last thing to go in a fighter is the punch.

by sonofapsycho on May 8, 2009 12:53 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Dawson UD.

Boxing writer: "Iran, what are you going to do when you retire?"
Iran Barkley: "Rob your house"

by Matt Miller on May 8, 2009 2:23 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Dinks Pick

Dawson UD

I just cant see it being any different this time around.

"One Shall Stand. One shall Fall" - Optimus Prime

by dinkman on May 8, 2009 3:18 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Dawson WIDE points.

by bazzlad on May 8, 2009 3:22 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I'm gonna pick Dawson;

and bet Tarver. Small money, VERY big odds on Tarver. Just in case Tarver does actually roll back the years. However it would be one of the few times I’d actually be pleased to lose money, as I actually think I hate Tarver more than any other boxer in the sport.

Once Dawson smacks him around for a while, maybe he’ll go back to his, ahem, starring (and not typecast at all) roles in, ahem, really good movies….

My pick-
Dawson- TKO-9

Boxing is the beginning of all sports. I'm willing to bet that the first sport was a man against another man in a fight. (Omar Epps)

by Chaos100 on May 8, 2009 4:42 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

hey man

Outside of the stunning KO of Roy, Rocky Balboa is my favorite thing Tarver’s ever done.

Third-favorite: Wondering if he was drugged after Bernard Hopkins smoked him.

by SC on May 8, 2009 4:52 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think I hate him for KO'ing Roy.....

And I LOVED the way Hopkins smacked the shit out of him.

Boxing is the beginning of all sports. I'm willing to bet that the first sport was a man against another man in a fight. (Omar Epps)

by Chaos100 on May 8, 2009 6:11 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The Roy KO was so stunning that I couldn’t help but love it. It’s the one time he backed up his mouth.

by SC on May 8, 2009 4:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Dawson TKO 7

by strike4A on May 8, 2009 5:08 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Dawson – UD

by Brett87 on May 8, 2009 6:06 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

pad the record

Dawson TKO8

-Brian

by bp on May 8, 2009 7:15 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Dawson UD

by thirdslip on May 8, 2009 7:35 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Dawson UD

Vogt early, Vogt often.

by Brickhaus on May 8, 2009 8:32 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

As soon as I saw Buddy McGirt

Reuniting with Antonio Tarver my pick was solidified.

Dawson – TKO 7

Seattle Seahawks: We've got Brian Russell and TWO kickers!

by SSreporters on May 8, 2009 10:40 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Dawson UD

Wear something sexy to my funeral.

by Pops Daniels on May 8, 2009 12:20 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

my pick

Dawson TKO 5…UD would have been safer I guess, but hoping he gets it done early.

by BrianBrock on May 8, 2009 4:13 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Picking Dawson by another UD

I hope Dawson goes in there looking to KO Tarver and send him into retirement for good, but don’t think thats going to happen. Boy I hope it does though

by Full Throttle on May 8, 2009 5:24 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

pick

Dawson by 9th round KO

by missmanners on May 8, 2009 6:09 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

The pick is

Dawson – TKO 10. The fight is the same as last time if not alittle more one sided. I think Buddy McGirt will stop the fight after watching Tarver taking shot after shot

by sigidy on May 8, 2009 6:43 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Full Trottle....

My thoughts exactly.

by SkeedTom on May 8, 2009 10:09 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Dawson UD- maybe it’ll be closer this time around due to Tarver’s record in rematches and maybe Dawson will cover up a little more and let Antonio pound on his arms and steal a couple more rounds. Tarver’s weighed in light for this fight, which means either he’s going to be dead and overtrained or he’s in the shape of his life. Either way, he just doesn’t have enough left to hang with the kid. Dawson’s too fast and is a bad stylistic matchup for Tarver, who likes to lean back and counter, which he wont be able to do against a moving target on the outside like Dawson.
It’ll be closer given Antonio’s rematch reputation, but Dawson is too young and the old lion will be driven from the top echelon of the sport, never to return.

by dervish686 on May 9, 2009 2:42 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Dawson UD

I don’t think these guys really learned a whole lot about each other, except maybe that Tarver might hav picked up some tips on how to avoid a KO.

"This fight'll be the nastiest thing you'll ever see. I been sober for six weeks, and that makes me vicious."
-- Randall 'Tex' Cobb

by jrok on May 9, 2009 2:16 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Dawson TKO 8

Dawson knows he needs a KO to raise his profile and will do more to seek it out. Tarver weighing in at 172 and possibly being overtrained won’t help matters.

by boxingstudent on May 9, 2009 5:26 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Dawson UD

Dawson punishes him for 12 rounds while Tarver covers up doing little to stop the assault.

by 2020Proof on May 9, 2009 9:13 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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