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Fight Previews: Diaz-Malignaggi, Klassen-Guerrero and Jacobs-Smith

This three-fight card televised by HBO will begin at 9:45 ET on Saturday night, and Bad Left Hook will be here for live, round-by-round coverage and scoring of the bouts.

I'm not going to sugar-coat it like this is a great card. It's not -- but it's a solid bunch of legitimate fights and deserves the boxing fan's attention for sure.

Main Event: Juan Diaz v. Paulie Malignaggi (12 Rounds, 138.5-pound catchweight)

This (ridiculous) catchweight bout features junior welterweight fringe contender Malignaggi and former lightweight titlist Juan Diaz meeting in the middle in a bit of a crossroads bout for Diaz and a make-or-break fight for Paulie. Brooklyn's Malignaggi (26-2, 5 KO) hasn't fared well against his best opponents, getting routed and stopped late last year by Ricky Hatton and taking a vicious beating from Miguel Cotto back in 2006. Since losing to Hatton, he has fought just once, beating unheralded Christopher Fernandez over eight rounds in April of this year.

Diaz (34-2, 17 KO) has lost two of his last three, getting upset in 2008 by Nate Campbell and knocked out by Juan Manuel Marquez in February of this year, a Fight of the Year contender that we'll be remember for a long time. In between losses, he dominated Michael Katsidis in a fight that was mind-bogglingly scored for Katsidis by judge Glen Hamada, something I still can't get over. How anyone saw that fight for Katsidis is beyond me.

What we have here is a matchup between a fighter that lives and dies on speed and technique (Malignaggi) and one that lives and dies on pressure and keeping his guts unchecked. Katsidis, a warrior by trade, made the awful decision to try and box Diaz last September, and in turn, Diaz had a pretty easy night. Campbell and Marquez put him to the test, and he came up short both times. He, too, is a warrior; I do not doubt his spirit. What I doubt is his ability to persevere when challenged by a top opponent.

Because of this, I see Malignaggi having almost no chance to win this fight. Diaz has home field advantage in Houston and Paulie has even complained massively about Golden Boy allegedly stacking the deck with biased officials. But the real problem Malignaggi is going to have is the problem he usually has: He can't punch for beans. Diaz is not heavy-handed by any means, but he keeps the pressure on and that should overwhelm Malignaggi, whose speed seems to be in an early decline. Hatton and Cotto showed Malignaggi no respect and put the hurt on him. I'm not saying Diaz is Hatton or Cotto, but Malignaggi hasn't really looked good in his last four fights.

Pick: Juan Diaz by dominant unanimous decision

Star-divide

Malcolm Klassen v. Robert Guerrero (12 Rounds, Junior Lightweights, Klassen's IBF title on the line)

Klassen is a mystery to most. The South African is universally among the top two or three at 130 pounds, which isn't a strong division but does have some talent, and has been compared to Timothy Bradley by those that have seen him work. He'll be defending his title against Golden Boy's Guerrero in just his second fight outside of his home country (he fought in London in 2002).

Klassen (24-4-2, 15 KO) doesn't have the prettiest record, but keep in mind he started his career 7-3-1, and since then has gone 17-1-1, with a six-round draw against Jeffey Mathebula at 122 pounds and a split decision loss to Mzonke Fana his only blemishes since the early struggles. Since losing to Fana in 2007, he's gone 4-0 and stopped everyone inside the distance, including Cassius Baloyi in his last fight in April.

The last time we saw Guerrero on TV, he was part of the disappointing Kirkland-Julio Boxing After Dark, facing Daud Yordan. Guerrero was cut and decided to quit in the second round rather than seeing if his corner could do anything to fix the gash, ending the bout in a no-contest. He took a lot of flak for that, and then came back in June to beat journeyman Efren Hinojosa.

Guerrero (24-1-1, 17 KO) is an interesting fighter to me. There are times when he looks like an absolute wrecking ball, with back-to-back destructive wins over Martin Honorio (TKO-1) and Jason Litzau (KO-8 in a fight in which Guerrero won every minute). Other times, he seems somewhat unmotivated and vulnerable.

I'm picking this fight mostly on gut instinct, because I know Klassen only by reputation really. Klassen is on a roll, has never been stopped, and Guerrero can run hot and cold.

Pick: Malcolm Klassen SD-12

Daniel Jacobs v. Ishe Smith (10 Rounds, Super Middleweights)

Jacobs (17-0, 15 KO, 22 years old) is one of boxing's hottest prospects, and in my view Golden Boy's best hope for the near future. Ishe Smith (21-3, 9 KO) is a tough 31-year old fighter who has argued all of his losses. His first came to Sergio Mora (SD-5) on "The Contender," his second to Sechew Powell (UD-10 in a fight much closer than it was scored), and his third to Joel Julio (UD-10 in a rather close fight).

In short, Jacobs and Golden Boy have some real guts matching the explosive young Jacobs with Smith, who is very hard to look good against and can be a tough nut to crack. He also has a great chin. Jacobs went the full eight rounds with Michael Walker in May, and then took eight to end George Walton in a one-sided fight in June. So far in 2009, Jacobs is 4-0 with three stoppages. I think he wins this fight on pure physical talent, but we're going to see him struggle, and he's not going to be the first guy to stop Smith.

Pick: Daniel Jacobs UD-10

0 recs  |  Comment 19 comments |

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thats a cool picture. i like it.

i like the upset and pick paulie by SD that should be a UD…..if the paulie actually cares to show up to fight.

jacobs by easy UD.

klassen by tko 10.

by sonofapsycho on Aug 20, 2009 3:28 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

baby bull UD
Guerrero UD
Jacobs UD

The Dude Abides

by battle axe of doom on Aug 20, 2009 3:49 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

If anyone picks Diaz/Malignaggi to end in a KO you're on drugs

If it does….you’re still on drugs.

Diaz – UD
Guerrero – UD
Jacobs – TKO 9

Beverly Hills 90210.......Denver Broncos 7.

by SSreporters on Aug 20, 2009 4:18 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I don’t think a Diaz ITD bet is that crazy. Malignaggi was stopped by Hatton and I’m not sure Diaz at this point in his career isn’t in the same ballpark as Hatton at this point in his.

What the fight comes down to is does Paulie have any professional pride? I thought for sure he would beat Hatton and my wallet took a major hit for it. I’ve seen in the run up Malignaggi saying he has the perfect style to beat Hatton and he should have beat him.Great, but you didn’t! That whole fight should have gone like the first round went. Paulie should have boxed circles around him but he just didn’t have it. I just don’t think he has it anymore. The Paulie that lost to Cotto was tough as nails and a HELL of a boxer. I don’t think that guy exists anymore so I will take Diaz on a UD 12 in a snoozer, though a stoppage wouldn’t be wild.

I know little about Klassen like everyone else but he must make good fights for HBO to put him in this spot so I am hopeful. I will take Guerrero in a good fight with a TKO 10.

I’m on record as saying Ishe Smith is a terrible opponent for Jacobs and SC has written the same sentiment. That said, I do think Jacobs is talented enough to get by Smith. Dare I say this has Dirrell/Stevens written all over it. Jacobs MD 10

by BabyBull1289 on Aug 21, 2009 2:37 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's a battle of feather punchers

Malignaggi can take a punch and Diaz barely has one.

Beverly Hills 90210.......Denver Broncos 7.

by SSreporters on Aug 21, 2009 1:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Diaz – TD8
Guerrero by robbery SD
Jacobs wide UD

Bad Left Hook - The SB Nation boxing blog
"Baseball is played on the field, not on a calculator."

by Brickhaus on Aug 20, 2009 4:37 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

this sounds about right to me.

Boxing writer: "Iran, what are you going to do when you retire?"
Iran Barkley: "Rob your house"

by Matt Miller on Aug 20, 2009 6:05 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Diaz-UD

Guerrero-UD

Jacobs-UD

by Upstait on Aug 20, 2009 7:00 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Pick

Diaz- UD
Guerrero KO-6
Jacobs- UD

by TXroyal on Aug 20, 2009 7:15 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Diaz was winning that fight against JMM until the cut. Diaz – UD
Guerrero should win unless he gets cut (same could be said for Diaz) Guerrero – SD
I like the kid. Jacobs KO – 7 (Maybe RTD, kinda see this shaping up like the Alexander – Whitter fight)

by waldo47 on Aug 20, 2009 7:22 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Picks

Diaz – UD

Guerrero- TKO 9

Jacobs- UD

by drivlikejehu on Aug 20, 2009 8:53 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Picks …. A shutout for Diaz

Um… upset pick with Klassen. Guerrero has alot to prove after what he pulled… It was clear he wanted an out when it seemed like he was going to have a tuff night

Jacobs… UD. I think he will struggle early but then pull away.

"Boxing is dirty," said Casamayor. " The day I’m not ready to be a dirty fighter is the day I don’t fight anymore because it will mean that I have no heart for it anymore."

by Zocalo on Aug 20, 2009 10:31 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Diaz knows he cant be hurt so will be himself and pressure and throwing combinations all night long for a wide UD.
Im going with Guerrero on this one. I think he will turn up focused and ready though it will go the distance.

Jacobs by another decision

"Good, so it can’t go any deeper." - Arturo Gatti after being told he was cut to the bone

by sigidy on Aug 21, 2009 1:31 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Diaz UD- to call Paulie featherfisted is a compliment, Diaz walks him down and pounds out 12 easy rounds.

Klassen MD- Guerrero is running cold and he unless he starts another roll it wont be enough against Klassen

Jacobs UD 10- Smith doesn’t throw enough punches to clearly win rounds, no matter how much more skilled than his opposition he looks.

by dervish686 on Aug 21, 2009 7:38 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Picks

Diaz UD
Klassen UD
Jacobs TKO 9

by strike4A on Aug 21, 2009 9:08 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I reckon Diaz could get a stoppage because of the massive amount of punches he will be able to throw because he has very little to fear from Paulie’s feather fists. Diaz isn’t exactly a great hitter but if he lands enough it’s going to wear Paulie down a lot.

by Drunken cutman on Aug 21, 2009 6:05 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Diaz UD

Diaz will win this handily, unless he runs afoul of some major adversity, such as: a cut, a bruise, a subbed toe, a knot in his lace, a fly in his soup, a sharp wind, etc. More importantly Paulie will just lose every round because his punches Baby Bull look like a demolition man by comparison

Guerrero KO 6
Guerrero will have to treat this as a “comeback fight”, playing it safe early then exploding all over Klassen once he is properly figured out. My guess is that it will take 5 or six rounds for this to happen.

Jacobs UD
I wonder what becomes of Ishe Smith after this. Honestly, he reminds me a little of Buchanan. Jacobs will continue to expose some chinks in the armor, but I get the feeling he’s going to outclass Smith pretty badly.

"This fight'll be the nastiest thing you'll ever see. I been sober for six weeks, and that makes me vicious."
-- Randall 'Tex' Cobb

by jrok on Aug 22, 2009 4:18 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

picks

Diaz – UD

Jacobs – TKO 7

by lcollins1 on Aug 22, 2009 6:48 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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