I used to love to root against Floyd. I never denied his brilliance in the ring but I believed very strongly at one time that we would see Floyd exploited once he went up in weight against broader, bigger, and stronger opponents. I wagered against him twice. One was his fight with De La Hoya. I figured the bigger Oscar would start to carry the fight from round 7 onward with a brutish strategy designed to hurt a smaller man and, as a result, win it with a SD.
The other lost wager was when I picked Shane Mosley to win. I even held out for the chance that Mosley could win from a flash knockdown or even a knockout. Even with hindsight, that possibility wasn't out of the question. While it nearly happened in round 2 of their fight from a Mosley righthand, Mayweather just proved to be too much and by the later rounds, Mosley was a whipped fighter.
Putting aside Mayweather's antics and personality, the guy -- even at age 35 -- operates on a different level than most fighters. He is clearly the best fighter out there. His remarkable defense and ring intelligence often neutralizes his opponent's strengths to the point they are entirely ineffective by the middle rounds. Meanwhile, he's beating them to the punch, landing combos, along with several very underrated straight rights -- the kind that quickly close up eyes. That point was illustrated against a youthful and strong, Victor Ortiz -- a big-bodied welterweight. Even before the controversial knockout, Ortiz was already showing the signs of early punishment from cleanly landed Mayweather punches.
I see Cotto suffering the same fate as everyone else who has faced Mayweather. It won't be a mismatch but rather another exhibition of superior skills and talents against lesser ones. Mayweather will simply beat Cotto. Once Cotto falls behind by several rounds, he'll try to force a fight and attempt to bang with Mayweather, which will result in leaving himself vulnerable to counter punches. Once the accumulative effect sets in, Cotto will swell up, at which point Mayweatehr will start shooting that right of his at will. As a result, Cotto will experience a very bad head-beating from Mayweather.
As much as I would love to see a real fight, a real test for Mayweather at 154, I just don't think Cotto can deliver. I predict Mayweather will win 8 or 9 rounds and carry an easy decision.
What say you?