ShoBox Betting Preview: Bundrage vs Spinks II, Lara vs Hernandez

Will Cornelius Bundrage do it again against Cory Spinks? The odds are in his favor. (Photo by Tom Casino/Showtime)

Tom Craze is back this weekend with another quick look at the betting odds in boxing. As always, this is for entertainment purposes and we're not recommending you take out a second mortgage and go nuts. Tom actually wrote much more than this and had some great stuff on the Appleby-Simpson card from yesterday, but due to my power going out and my own disorganization beforehand, I made it so that his hard work had to be edited down to just this. That's my fault, and next week and beyond you can look forward to Tom on Fridays weekly. - Scott

* * * * *

After an abundance of big fights - and no shortage of controversy along the way - there's a paucity to this week's schedule that has been absent over the past couple of months.

The inevitable curse of the new betting column struck in spectacular fashion last week, and it was one of those rare nights as a punter that gets filed away as, well, One of Those Nights. Long-term profit is key and it's hard to feel too despondent when consistently backing prices that, subjectively, represent the value - those bigger than they really should be. A value loser is usually easy to swallow.

The curious case of Victor Ortiz (-1000) was the lead consideration in last week's analysis and yet, despite the red flags throughout, there was something lacking when pulling the trigger on Lopez - who fought admirably - to get the job done. It's not as though the warning signs weren't there. In the evening's other fights, the appeal of the Matthysse stoppage (+333) was highlighted, but went unbacked. Finally, further down the undercard, one of the golden rules for any philosophical sports trader looking to stay sane was reinforced: sometimes - just sometimes - when you oppose a six-on shot, as Jermell Charlo ended up, they duly oblige by knocking out your guy with one punch in the fifth.

Erislandy Lara (16-1, 11 KOs) is a prohibitive -1600 favourite over Freddy Hernandez (30-2, 20 KOs), although it's difficult to present the case for the opposition. Ronald Hearns bore the brunt of Lara's frustration from the Williams robbery - all 90 seconds of it - and, as Andre Berto showed, Hernandez can be dispatched quickly. This is a classic example of a no-bet fight, but for those who don't mind backing long odds-on (-200), the under/over line set at 8.5 looks a couple of rounds high, assuming Lara is quick from the blocks once again.

In the main event, Cornelius Bundrage has been backed into a best-priced -333, and is favoured by most to win inside the distance once again. It's hard to argue against him, although a decisive win for on the cards last time out for Spinks over the -150 favourite and shared opponent Sechew Powell points towards him being at least a more durable test this time around.

Follow Tom Craze on Twitter @Box_Bet

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Bad Left Hook

You must be a member of Bad Left Hook to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Bad Left Hook. You should read them.

Join Bad Left Hook

You must be a member of Bad Left Hook to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Bad Left Hook. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_5349_tracker