Adrien Broner is the total package. His skill, speed and superior reflexes, allow him to pretty much do what he wants to his foes without any fear of reprisal. He also has devastating power; 19 knockouts in 23 fights (9 knockouts in the first round).
Vicente Escobedo is an educated boxer, who uses his jab, movement and combination punching to outwit opponents.
Broner has displayed the ability to become complacent in fights-as he displayed against Daniel Ponce Deleon.
Escobedo is not a very physically talented fighter. His power is respectable at best because he usually doesn't lean into his punches. His speed and reflexes are faulty, seeing that he does get caught with shots he doesn't see while throwing combinations. Escobedo has also shown a lack of strength, which he displayed by allowing himself to be pushed around in fights (especially against Robert Guerrero).
Unfortunately, this isn’t really much of a contest. Escobedo usually dominates his opponents with superior skill, but he doesn’t have that advantage here. Broner has a higher skill level, accompanied by the physical advantage of blinding speed. Escobedo’s best chances rest in trying to test Broner’s chin, or attempting to pressure him. In pressuring Broner, Escobedo would be acting on the assumption that Broner- having competed at lower weight division throughout his career-wouldn't be able to match his strength. The idea of success for either strategy is stretch. I don’t believe Escobedo will be able to catch Broner cleanly enough to stop him, nor do I believe him to have a real strength advantage.
The next question is, can Broner knock him out. Escobedo has displayed a really good chin at lightweight against two proven punchers in Robert Guerrero and Michael Katsidis. At junior lightweight, I think he’ll last the distance against Broner, but it will be a lopsided decision, with Broner winning at least 9 of 12 rounds. While I can see Broner getting bored in the middle rounds and giving a couple away, Broner should be the clear winner.
To see a visual representation of this analysis, go to http://noelsboxing.blogspot.com/2012/07/breakdown-adrien-broner-vs-vicente.html
To read more by Noel Martinez, go to Noel's Boxing Blog