Scheduled Event
Saturday Results: Maidana stops Cayo in Vegas, Morales wins in comeback
First off, we have full recaps of Abraham-Dirrell, Gamboa-Barros and Kameda-Wonjongkam from today/tonight. Here are some other results from around the boxing globe.
Las Vegas, NV (HBO): Marcos Maidana knocked out Victor Cayo on a body shot in the sixth round, in what appeared to be a bombs away slugfest. Maidana is now 28-1 (27 KO), while it's Cayo's first loss (24-1, 16 KO). On the undercard, in a largely meaningless fight because of Joan Guzman's weight problems, Guzman outpointed Ali Funeka on a split decision. Guzman (30-0-1, 17 KO) won on scores of 116-111, 114-113 and 113-114. Funeka, who is on a "one thing after another" run right now, falls to 30-3-3 (25 KO).
Monterrey, Mexico (PPV): Erik Morales won a unanimous decision in his comeback fight, beating Jose Alfaro in the welterweight debut of both fighters. Morales is now 49-6 (34 KO), but early reports are that he didn't look very good at all. Chris Henry (25-2, 20 KO) knocked out Hugo Garay (32-5, 17 KO) at 2:20 of the first round.
Baja California, Mexico (Top Rank Live): Ulises Solis beat Bert Batawang for the second time, when Batawang quit after six rounds. Solis improves to 30-2-2 (21 KO), while veteran Batawang drops to 45-15-3 (37 KO). Giovani Segura also won on the card.
Rama, Ontario, Canada (TSN): Steve Molitor won his rematch with Takalani Ndlovu on scores of 117-111, 116-112, and 115-113. Molitor (32-1, 12 KO) is now once again the IBF junior featherweight titlist.
La Guaira, Venezuela: Anselmo Moreno won a controversial split decision victory over Nehomar Cermeno, with scores of 115-112, 114-113 and 112-115. Jorge Linares won a split decision over Francisco Lorenzo as well. While the Linares win was not controversial, he reportedly didn't look good, and it was close enough that one judge scored the bout even.
Fight Previews: Maidana-Cayo and Funeka-Guzman II
HBO's Boxing After Dark tomorrow night has been overshadowed by the return of Showtime's Super Six World Boxing Classic, though of course that wasn't supposed to be the case. The Abraham-Dirrell fight was set for March 6, but Dirrell pulled out claiming a back injury, postponing the fight for exactly three weeks. The HBO card was going to run unopposed outside of the Erik Morales PPV no one will order, and yada yada, here we are with a head-to-head.
Interim WBA Junior Welterweight Title: Marcos Maidana v. Victor Manuel Cayo
There are some real wrinkles in this fight, and I think there are a lot of ways to go about looking at this one, two of which I think are pretty important.
Are we overrating Marcos Maidana?
I've noticed that Andriy Kotelnik comes up at two points:
- When Amir Khan is mentioned. "Khan routed Kotelnik." "Kotelnik? Big deal."
- When Marcos Maidana is mentioned. "He deserved the win over Kotelnik!"
I can never tell if the hive mind of boxing fans thinks Kotelnik is any good or not, but since Khan has had hype and Maidana sort of burst onto the scene from Argentina with no hype, I think you can guess why Kotelnik is seen in such a different light when associated with one or the other.
I think we may, indeed, be overrating Marcos Maidana to some degree -- he's pretty crude still, and he more mentally defeated Victor Ortiz than physically defeated him last year. Kotelnik didn't get knocked around the ring and quit like Ortiz did, and Kotelnik and Ortiz are the only guys on Maidana's sheet above the gatekeeper level.
But Lord, can he punch. You can never count out a guy who has the sheer punching power of Maidana. I think he's up there at the absolute top of the sport pound-for-pound in that category. There's no questioning the fact that he can bang. So maybe he's a bit overrated when you look at his overall game, but the one area where he excels is a big swing factor in any fight.
How good is Victor Cayo, really?
Cayo (24-0, 16 KO) started his pro career in 2006 as a featherweight, but that didn't last long. By his sixth fight he was up around 140, where he's stayed. His best win is over Julio Diaz last year, and Diaz was coming off of a bad TKO loss to Rolando Reyes. In short, Diaz is past his best days.
Cayo is 25 and fairly unpolished as a pro, but he's here on the big stage, ready or not, and he's facing a vicious puncher, the likes of which he has not seen yet, or even much close to someone like Maidana, really. Sometimes we get to see prospects work through the gatekeepers, sometimes they go right for the jugular, and sometimes you get a situation like this, where Cayo goes from fighting Julio Reyes in the Dominican Republic to fighting Marcos Maidana on HBO.
I don't know if Cayo is ready or not at this point, and a bad loss to a guy like Maidana -- as in, a guy who can end a fight the way Maidana can -- can be damaging to a fighter. But that's just sort of the game, too. If a guy can't handle the bad loss at 25, he probably isn't going to handle it better at 28 having run through some more guys everyone knows he's going to beat. My feeling purely as an observer is guys either have it in them to take a loss and bounce back or they just don't. It's part of the makeup of a top pro boxer.
Which is not to say for a fact that Cayo will lose badly, or even lose. Maidana is favored and should be, and I'm going with the favorite to keep his belt and stay in line for a crack at the Khan-Malignaggi winner. But I'm hardly 100% confident. It's this fight where we'll find out a lot about Cayo. Maidana TKO-7
Vacant IBF Lightweight Title: Ali Funeka v. Joan Guzman II
These two first met on the Bute-Andrade II undercard, with Guzman being gifted a draw in the minds of basically everyone on the planet. Funeka beat up a Guzman who appeared out of shape and maybe even a bit shot. It's hard to say a guy who is 29-0-1 can be "shot," really, but if Guzman looks bad in this one, that might really be the deal.
Remember, Guzman is 33 years old and has kept a weird schedule over the years. His bouts of inactivity (for whatever reason he was inactive) have done him no favors. We're talking about a guy whose optimal weight was probably 122.
What this fight hinges on is whether or not Guzman is in better shape this time. He says he is, but they all say they are before the fight. I like Ali Funeka, feel bad for him that he's even in this rematch (because he should just be the IBF titlist right now), and don't think Guzman deserves this fight, but if Guzman is in shape, I think he can box circles around Funeka.
Then again, I have that awkward tall guy bias. Funeka, like Celestino Caballero, is ugly to watch ply his trade, and I probably let that affect how I see their skills. But Funeka seems even more awkward than Caballero does to me, which is hard to do. There are times where Funeka really looks like he's having issues controlling his body, like a dog that's still growing trying to run around the house and losing his footing.
I am not picking Guzman because I'm not confident he'll actually be in better shape, or that he's going to really have much left at all. Smart money is on Funeka here, and frankly even if Guzman is in phenomenal shape and boxing well, if Funeka can impose his size, he can bust Guzman up. He's just a lot bigger than him. Won't be shocked if Joanie pulls this out, but I'm taking Funeka. Funeka SD-12
Ali Funeka-Joan Guzman rematch in talks
Jake Donovan reports that with Rolando Reyes pulling out of a fight with Ali Funeka for the still-vacant IBF lightweight title, HBO is now trying to put together a rematch between Funeka and Joan Guzman.
I can't say as though I'm at all surprised that Reyes (31-4-2, 20 KO) pulled out of the fight, as despite the protests of many (Gary Shaw, for one), Funeka's people were putting the bout in South Africa, where it was going to receive no U.S. TV coverage whatsoever. Shaw said he could have made a TV deal for the fight, too, but the Funeka people have had tough experiences in the U.S. (Nate Campbell beat him narrowly) and Canada (the draw with Guzman was seen by most as a robbery).
So now, we have Funeka and Guzman again. Rick Reeno's follow-up report says that though HBO is interested in putting the rematch together for March 27 (replacing the Michael Katsidis fight that night), the IBF and Funeka's team are saying they still have rights to put the fight in South Africa.
If they stick to that, Funeka won't fight Guzman, I'll guarantee that. They might get Miguel Vazquez to go over there, and by IBF rankings he would be the next choice, but but they won't get Guzman over there. Furthermore, I have my doubts given his conditioning history that Guzman can make 135 comfortably by March 27, so I'd probably not expect that to happen either way.
I'll also say that a better-conditioned Guzman (again, why I don't see this happening 3/27 if it happens at all) probably would beat Funeka. I like Funeka just fine, but he's not that great, and Guzman's conditioning as much as anything helped Ali get into that fight and at points, beat Guzman up pretty good. Still, I thought Guzman won the opening three rounds, and at the end I had Funeka squeaking past with a 115-113 score. I know a lot of people had it a lot wider, but I wasn't majorly outraged by the decision, I just thought it sucked for Funeka.
Katsidis-Guerrero, Maidana-Cayo looking set for March 27 on HBO
Rick Reeno is reporting today that terms have been reached for the rumored HBO Boxing After Dark double-header on March 27, featuring a lightweight main event between Michael Katsidis and current junior lightweight titlist Robert Guerrero.
Guerrero (25-1-1, 17 KO) won the IBF 130-pound title in a good, close scrap last August against Malcolm Klassen. He's also a former IBF featherweight titlist. Katsidis (26-2, 21 KO) was last seen on the Mayweather-Marquez undercard, winning a rough but wide decision over Vicente Escobedo. That fight was for the interim WBO title. If Juan Manuel Marquez, who holds the full WBO title right now, decides to fight Amir Khan at 140 pounds, Katsidis-Guerrero would almost surely be for the full WBO belt.
I like this fight a lot on paper. Both are good, generally enjoyable fighters to watch, and both have a solid killer instinct when they get guys in trouble. Think back to Guerrero's win over Jason Litzau and how badly he destroyed a "cowboy" fighter that night. At the same time, Katsidis is physically strong, has a really good threshold for pain, and takes a horrible beating before he goes down, if he's going to go down.
Speed would be on Guerrero's side, and technique, too. He's a better boxer. But Katsidis can be such a bull, and that forces me to recall Guerrero's truncated fight against Daud Yordan last year. Many felt he simply quit when he was cut early because he didn't like the pressure that the upstart Yordan was putting on him. If nothing else, Katsidis constantly comes forward and doesn't like to give guys time to breathe. If Guerrero has trouble dealing with pressure, he could be in a lot of trouble.
He could also use his speed and legs to outbox Katsidis all night. There are plenty of ways for this fight to go. It's a good one. It also speaks to the complete lack of options at 130, because "The Ghost" only moved up to that weight last year. With Humberto Soto moving to 135, too, there are almost no names with any American TV value in the division.
The co-feature would pit interim WBA junior welterweight titlist Marcos Maidana (27-1, 26 KO) against hot prospect Victor Cayo (24-0, 16 KO). Cayo had a year of step-up wins in '09. At 25, he's yet to face anyone quite as good as Maidana, or anyone that punches like him. It's another very interesting fight, and while the idea in theory -- and in the press -- is to mold something bigger out of a possible Amir Khan-Maidana fight, they'd both be taking fights they could very well lose in the coming months.

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