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CompuBox: Plus-Minus for Mayweather-Marquez

Previous CompuBox reports for Mayweather-Marquez:


Fighter Overall Conn. % Opp. Conn. % +/- Rating
Floyd Mayweather Jr.
43% 16% +27
Vitali Klitschko
47% 21% +26
Chris Arreola
53% 28% +25
Joshua Clottey
37% 21% +16
Juan Manuel Lopez
42% 27% +15
Shane Mosley
35% 22% +13
Wladimir Klitschko
40% 29% +11
Manny Pacquiao
34% 24% +10
Winky Wright
31% 21% +10
Miguel Cotto
38% 29% +9
Juan Diaz 35% 27% +8
Juan Manuel Marquez
36% 29% +7
Chad Dawson
36% 29% +7
Alfredo Angulo
33% 26% +7
Bernard Hopkins
30% 27% +3
Paul Williams 26% 24% +2
Paulie Malignaggi
27% 27% even
Antonio Margarito
31% 31% even
Kermit Cintron
31% 35% -4
Kelly Pavlik
30% 36% -6


Plus/minus rating determined by subtracting opponent’s connect pct. from listed fighter’s overall connect pct., which includes jab connect pct. & power punch connect pct.

Number is measured over the last five fights for each man

  • Mayweather's No. 1 rating with this stat is absolutely no surprise, but look at the way he does it: That 16% opponents' connect rate is far and away the lowest on this list. The next-lowest is 21%, coming from Vitali Klitschko, Winky Wright and Joshua Clottey, three very good defensive fighters. Mayweather rips them all, while also landing 43% of his own shots, a number topped only by Chris Arreola (53%) and Vitali (47%). Juan Manuel Lopez is also at 42%, meaning Mayweather's connect rate is in the range of three guys who are knockout artists and considered offensive masters.
  • As an aside, this also makes me pretty excited for a Vitali-Arreola slugfest next week.
  • Marquez is more or less middle of the pack, with a number (+7) that has faded over time. The last five fights of his career have been against Marco Antonio Barrera, Rocky Juarez, Manny Pacquiao, Joel Casamayor and Juan Diaz. In all but the Juarez fight, Marquez has taken some significant damage, and I felt every single one of them besides the Juarez fight was pretty damn close, until either it ended at the cards (Barrera, Pacquiao) or Marquez finished it (Casamayor, Diaz). If you looked at this fight purely with these numbers, then added in the concerns about size difference, Marquez frankly is living on a prayer. It's unlikely he's going to abandon -- or be able to abandon -- this style change. He's a genuine warrior now, on par with any in the sport, including Pacquiao, Israel Vazquez and his own brother, Rafael.
  • Another aside: Juan Diaz was at +23 before the Nate Campbell fight.

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