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ShoBox Betting Preview: Bundrage vs Spinks II, Lara vs Hernandez

Will Cornelius Bundrage do it again against Cory Spinks? The odds are in his favor. (Photo by Tom Casino/Showtime)
Will Cornelius Bundrage do it again against Cory Spinks? The odds are in his favor. (Photo by Tom Casino/Showtime)

Tom Craze is back this weekend with another quick look at the betting odds in boxing. As always, this is for entertainment purposes and we're not recommending you take out a second mortgage and go nuts. Tom actually wrote much more than this and had some great stuff on the Appleby-Simpson card from yesterday, but due to my power going out and my own disorganization beforehand, I made it so that his hard work had to be edited down to just this. That's my fault, and next week and beyond you can look forward to Tom on Fridays weekly. - Scott

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After an abundance of big fights - and no shortage of controversy along the way - there's a paucity to this week's schedule that has been absent over the past couple of months.

The inevitable curse of the new betting column struck in spectacular fashion last week, and it was one of those rare nights as a punter that gets filed away as, well, One of Those Nights. Long-term profit is key and it's hard to feel too despondent when consistently backing prices that, subjectively, represent the value - those bigger than they really should be. A value loser is usually easy to swallow.

The curious case of Victor Ortiz (-1000) was the lead consideration in last week's analysis and yet, despite the red flags throughout, there was something lacking when pulling the trigger on Lopez - who fought admirably - to get the job done. It's not as though the warning signs weren't there. In the evening's other fights, the appeal of the Matthysse stoppage (+333) was highlighted, but went unbacked. Finally, further down the undercard, one of the golden rules for any philosophical sports trader looking to stay sane was reinforced: sometimes - just sometimes - when you oppose a six-on shot, as Jermell Charlo ended up, they duly oblige by knocking out your guy with one punch in the fifth.

Erislandy Lara (16-1, 11 KOs) is a prohibitive -1600 favourite over Freddy Hernandez (30-2, 20 KOs), although it's difficult to present the case for the opposition. Ronald Hearns bore the brunt of Lara's frustration from the Williams robbery - all 90 seconds of it - and, as Andre Berto showed, Hernandez can be dispatched quickly. This is a classic example of a no-bet fight, but for those who don't mind backing long odds-on (-200), the under/over line set at 8.5 looks a couple of rounds high, assuming Lara is quick from the blocks once again.

In the main event, Cornelius Bundrage has been backed into a best-priced -333, and is favoured by most to win inside the distance once again. It's hard to argue against him, although a decisive win for on the cards last time out for Spinks over the -150 favourite and shared opponent Sechew Powell points towards him being at least a more durable test this time around.

Follow Tom Craze on Twitter @Box_Bet

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