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Saturday night’s fight between Canelo Alvarez and Rocky Fielding is being sold, at least in terms of it being a real competition, on the size advantage that Fielding will have over Alvarez, who is moving up from 160 to 168 pounds for the fight.
But oddsmakers and those putting down their money don’t seem to be buying it.
Bovada currently has Alvarez (50-1-2, 34 KO) listed at -1600, making him the enormous favorite in the matchup with Fielding (27-1, 15 KO), who is defending the secondary WBA “world” super middleweight title.
Canelo is coming off of a controversial win over Gennady Golovkin at middleweight, a year after their controversial draw. The reality is that, at least on paper, at least based on what we’ve all seen for years, Fielding, 31, as a pretty substantial step down from Golovkin in terms of ability, even admitting that, yes, he is a bigger man than the 28-year-old Mexican superstar.
Fielding is listed at +800.
Bovada only has odds listed for one of the undercard fights from Madison Square Garden, that being IBF/WBA lightweight champion Katie Taylor’s defense against Eva Wahlstrom. Taylor (11-0, 5 KO) is an even bigger favorite than Canelo, listed at -5000, with Wahlstrom (22-0-1, 3 KO) at +1400.
That might not be giving that fight enough credit, though. Taylor is a very good fighter and should probably be favored, but Wahlstrom is an unbeaten world champion at super featherweight, too, not just some scrub opponent.