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Spence vs Porter preview: CompuBox numbers favor Errol Spence in unification fight

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Breaking down the statistical matchup for tonight’s FOX pay-per-view main event.

Errol Spence Jr v Shawn Porter - Press Conference Photo by Jayne Kamin-Oncea/Getty Images

Errol Spence Jr and Shawn Porter are just hours away from their welterweight title unification clash in Los Angeles, live on FOX pay-per-view. It’s a a fight with a clear favorite (Spence, according to the betting odds), and the CompuBox numbers seem to confirm that this should be the case.

Our live coverage begins tonight at 7:30 pm ET!

In terms of total punches, Spence (25-0, 21 KO) is a clear No. 1 at 147 pounds in both thrown and landed per round. Porter (30-2-1, 17 KO) is sixth in the division in punches thrown, and eighth in punches landed per round.

Spence is also a clear leader in jabs thrown per round, but Porter, not known as a jabber, lands a better percentage.

In terms of power punches, Porter throws more than anyone at 147, just ahead of Spence, but Spence lands at a dramatically better connect percentage, 49.3% to 32.1%. In terms of efficiency with his power shots, Spence just blows Porter away.

All in all, the numbers simply don’t bode well for Shawn Porter, but it’s worth noting, too, that Porter has probably been in with the better competition overall. Enough to make up for these differences? Perhaps not, but styles make fights, and we’ll see if what Porter brings to the ring can give Spence problems we haven’t seen.

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