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Boxing betting preview: Underdog Katie Taylor, Benavidez vs Andrade, more

Will Katie Taylor pull the upset in her first pro fight as an underdog? Plus much more on the schedule!

Chantelle Cameron and Katie Taylor at Friday’s weigh-in in Dublin
Will Katie Taylor pull the upset in her first pro fight as an underdog?
Mark Robinson/Matchroom Boxing
Lewis Watson is a sports writer from London, UK, and a member of the Boxing Writers Association of America. He has been a contributor at Bad Left Hook since 2018.

The bright lights of Dublin and Las Vegas take centre stage this weekend as we welcome an undisputed rematch and wave goodbye to Showtime pay-per-view.

But where does the value lie?

If it ain’t broke...

We’re still at super-lightweight here in a rematch of a Majority Decision win for Chantelle Cameron in May, and it’s hard to argue anything other than a repeat in Dublin.

We’d possibly be having a differing conversation down at 135, but Cameron is just that more effective and damaging at the weight; kudos for Taylor for demanding a rematch back at super-lightweight.

Chantelle Cameron is 4/5 to beat Katie Taylor by Decision/Technical Decision and that’s got to be the pick when you consider Cameron is as short as 8/15 to win the fight in the outrights.

Cameron has one stoppage win across her last eight contests and another is unlikely to come against a brave Taylor in Dublin.

Chantelle Cameron and Katie Taylor both to land 150+ punches at 7/2 is well worth a look considering the hell-for-leather flavour of this rivalry.

Eddie Hearn won’t like this, but another loss for Taylor could well see the end of her career, so she’s not going to leave anything to chance as she hunts down the champion.

Katie Taylor is 6/4 to win the fight and the first time that she has come into a fight as an underdog in the pro game.

A possible undercard-upset could potentially be found in the Gary Cully vs Reece Mould fight.

Reece Mould is 5/1 to beat Gary Cully, with Cully coming off the back of a shock TKO loss to Jose Felix the last time Cameron and Taylor fought.

Mould is a competitive operator and on a good run of wins. He may be limited at the next level up, but he’s the last kind of fighter Cully is going to want to mix it with off the back of a loss.

We can often be left surprised at how a fighter reacts to a first career loss, and 5/1 is more than good enough for us to have a closer look at Cully’s reaction on Saturday.

Boo Boo has to stay switched on

David Benavidez is a short 1/4 to beat Demetrius Andrade so looking at a Decision/Technical Decision win at 7/5 is more profitable.

Of course Benavidez could get the stoppage – his career KO % is up at 85 – but Andrade is a smart operator, if not the most exciting.

Benavidez ran away with the Caleb Plant fight after settling into the contest over the first six rounds, and I wouldn’t be surprised if a similar pattern followed here against Boo Boo.

Demetrius Andrade is 4/5 to throw 500+ punches which isn’t something to be backed. Andrade is going to have to be cautious throughout this contest not to walk onto one, so expect him to have some quiet rounds off the back foot.

David Benavidez is Evens to score a knockdown in the fight, which could well come late in the fight.

Instant classic?

Subriel Matias vs Shohjahon Ergashev at super-lightweight is a real lip-licker and probably the standout fight – on paper – of the weekend.

Ergashev has promised “fireworks from start to finish,” scheduled in the first 12-rounder of his career.

Matias is on a run of retiring his last four opponents since losing and being dropped against Petros Ananyan in 2020, but the challenger knows he can be hurt.

Shohjahon Ergashev to score a knockdown against Subriel Matias is 10/3 and a hell of a pick in what could easily turn into an up-and-downer.

Subriel Matias is 5/18 to win the fight which makes us err towards Ergashev (53/20) in what could soon materialise into a classic.

Follow or contact Lewis Watson on Twitter @lewiswatson_8

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